Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

Kansas State Wildcats

6-6 overall · 5-4 Big 12 · 10th in the standings

The schedule

Week 1
final
Aviva Stadium · Dublin (neutral)
Average 61°F, 10 mph, 60% rain
Kansas State -3
model KSU -1.2 · actual -3 · fell short by 1.8
Week 1
North Dakota 35 at Kansas State 38 non-conf
final
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Average 78°F, 7 mph, 38% rain
Kansas State -27.5
model KSU +15.9 · actual +3 · fell short by 12.9
Week 2
Army 24 at Kansas State 21 non-conf
final
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Average 74°F, 8 mph, 29% rain
Kansas State -16.8
model KSU +8.1 · actual -3 · fell short by 11.1
Week 3
Kansas State 17 at Arizona 23 non-conf
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 85°F, 6 mph, 25% rain
Kansas State -1.5
model KSU -5.9 · actual -6 · fell short by 0.1
Week 5
UCF 20 at Kansas State 34
final
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Average 72°F, 8 mph, 29% rain
Kansas State -5.8
model KSU +10.5 · actual +14 · covered by 3.5
Week 6
final
McLane Stadium · Waco, TX
Average 76°F, 7 mph, 27% rain
Baylor -4.7
model KSU +3.8 · actual -1 · fell short by 4.8
Week 7
TCU 28 at Kansas State 41
final
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Average 64°F, 9 mph, 36% rain
TCU -2.8
model KSU +1.5 · actual +13 · covered by 11.5
Week 9
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 55°F, 9 mph, 28% rain
Kansas -3.5
model KSU +1.9 · actual +25 · covered by 23.1
Week 10
final
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Average 48°F, 8 mph, 24% rain
Texas Tech -7.3
model KSU -14.3 · actual -23 · fell short by 8.7
Week 12
final
Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK
Average 54°F, 8 mph, 21% rain
Kansas State -19.5
model KSU +18.2 · actual +8 · fell short by 10.2
Week 13
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 36°F, 4 mph, 33% rain
Utah -17.8
model KSU -15.8 · actual -4 · covered by 11.8
Week 14
final
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Average 43°F, 9 mph, 29% rain
Kansas State -16.5
model KSU +14.7 · actual +10 · fell short by 4.7

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on KSU

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking KSU games
SP+ (2025)+5.28 of 169-2
Elo (2025)+5.95 of 168-3
SRS (2025)+5.97 of 169-3
Vegas7-5

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Kansas State's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 5.1, +0.09 against the same team on the average draw, the 10th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for KSU would be West Virginia's (4.2), easiest Houston's (5.6).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 1 vs North Dakota: 51,927 (72°F)
  • Wk 2 vs Army: 52,723 (71°F)
  • Wk 5 vs UCF: 53,013 (74°F)
  • Wk 7 vs TCU: 51,316 (80°F)
  • Wk 10 vs Texas Tech: 52,111 (48°F)
  • Wk 14 vs Colorado: 49,549 (32°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023751,95752,580
2024651,53652,074
2025651,77353,013

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20117-210-22
20128-111-11
20135-47-55
20147-29-33
20153-66-68
20166-38-44
20175-47-56
20183-65-77
20195-48-45
20214-57-55
20227-210-32won the title game 28-31 vs TCU
20236-38-45
20245-48-48

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.