Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

West Virginia Mountaineers

4-8 overall · 2-7 Big 12 · 14th in the standings

The schedule

Week 1
Robert Morris 3 at West Virginia 45 non-conf
final
Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV
Average 71°F, 5 mph, 61% rain
West Virginia -41.8
model WVU +41.7 · actual +42 · covered by 0.3
ESPN box score
Week 2
West Virginia 10 at Ohio 17 non-conf
final
Peden Stadium · Athens, OH
Average 70°F, 5 mph, 37% rain
West Virginia -3.5
model WVU -6.6 · actual -7 · fell short by 0.4
ESPN box score
Week 3
Pittsburgh 24 at West Virginia 31 non-conf
final
Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV
Average 68°F, 5 mph, 48% rain
Pittsburgh -6.8
model WVU -10.9 · actual +7 · covered by 17.9
ESPN box score
Week 4
West Virginia 10 at Kansas 41
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 71°F, 7 mph, 33% rain
Kansas -12.8
model WVU -10.7 · actual -31 · fell short by 20.3
ESPN box score
Week 5
Utah 48 at West Virginia 14
final
Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV
Average 66°F, 5 mph, 53% rain
Utah -13.2
model WVU -23.7 · actual -34 · fell short by 10.3
ESPN box score
Week 6
West Virginia 24 at BYU 38
final
LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Average 55°F, 4 mph, 29% rain
BYU -19.7
model WVU -21.4 · actual -14 · covered by 7.4
ESPN box score
Week 8
West Virginia 13 at UCF 45
final
FBC Mortgage Stadium · Orlando, FL
Average 73°F, 7 mph, 46% rain
UCF -6.5
model WVU -6.8 · actual -32 · fell short by 25.2
ESPN box score
Week 9
TCU 23 at West Virginia 17
final
Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV
Average 53°F, 7 mph, 47% rain
TCU -16.5
model WVU -11.1 · actual -6 · covered by 5.1
ESPN box score
Week 10
West Virginia 45 at Houston 35
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 65°F, 7 mph, 45% rain
Houston -13
model WVU -12.8 · actual +10 · covered by 22.8
ESPN box score
Week 11
Colorado 22 at West Virginia 29
final
Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV
Average 47°F, 7 mph, 39% rain
West Virginia -6.5
model WVU +2.1 · actual +7 · covered by 4.9
ESPN box score
Week 12
West Virginia 23 at Arizona State 25
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 68°F, 5 mph, 5% rain
Arizona State -9.8
model WVU -12.6 · actual -2 · covered by 10.6
ESPN box score
Week 14
Texas Tech 49 at West Virginia 0
final
Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV
Average 41°F, 7 mph, 50% rain
Texas Tech -24.3
model WVU -26.9 · actual -49 · fell short by 22.1
ESPN box score

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on WVU

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking WVU games
SP+ (2025)-8.614 of 169-2
Elo (2025)-8.315 of 169-2
SRS (2025)-3.915 of 1610-2
Vegas——9-3

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in West Virginia's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 1.8, -0.42 against the same team on the average draw, the 3rd hardest of 16. Hardest slate for WVU would be Colorado's (1.6), easiest Arizona's (2.7).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 1 vs Robert Morris: 57,093 (69°F)
  • Wk 3 vs Pittsburgh: 62,108 (82°F)
  • Wk 5 vs Utah: 53,965 (72°F)
  • Wk 9 vs TCU: 54,110 (50°F)
  • Wk 11 vs Colorado: 55,510 (61°F)
  • Wk 14 vs Texas Tech: 44,250 (35°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023651,15661,106
2024752,45962,084
2025654,50662,108

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20124-57-58
20132-74-87
20145-47-55
20154-57-55
20167-210-23
20175-47-55
20186-38-34
20193-65-77
20214-56-66
20223-65-79
20236-38-46
20245-46-69

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.