Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

Arizona Wildcats

9-3 overall · 6-3 Big 12 · 5th in the standings

The schedule

Week 1
Hawai'i 6 at Arizona 40 non-conf
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 87°F, 5 mph, 27% rain
Arizona -14.8
model ARIZ +13.8 · actual +34 · covered by 20.2
Week 2
Weber State 3 at Arizona 48 non-conf
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 85°F, 6 mph, 25% rain
Arizona -31.5
model ARIZ +42.1 · actual +45 · covered by 2.9
Week 3
Kansas State 17 at Arizona 23 non-conf
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 85°F, 6 mph, 25% rain
Kansas State -1.5
model ARIZ +5.9 · actual +6 · covered by 0.1
Week 5
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 67°F, 9 mph, 42% rain
Iowa State -4
model ARIZ -0.1 · actual -25 · fell short by 24.9
Week 6
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 77°F, 5 mph, 17% rain
Arizona -22.2
model ARIZ +26.3 · actual +28 · covered by 1.7
Week 7
BYU 33 at Arizona 27
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 77°F, 5 mph, 17% rain
BYU -2.5
model ARIZ -0.7 · actual -6 · fell short by 5.3
Week 8
Arizona 28 at Houston 31
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 69°F, 8 mph, 45% rain
Arizona -2
model ARIZ +3.3 · actual -3 · fell short by 6.3
Week 10
Arizona 52 at Colorado 17
final
Folsom Field · Boulder, CO
Average 41°F, 5 mph, 24% rain
Arizona -3.7
model ARIZ +13.5 · actual +35 · covered by 21.5
Week 11
Kansas 20 at Arizona 24
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 65°F, 5 mph, 7% rain
Arizona -5.8
model ARIZ +10.1 · actual +4 · fell short by 6.1
Week 12
final
Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH
Average 48°F, 7 mph, 35% rain
Cincinnati -6
model ARIZ +5.9 · actual +6 · covered by 0.1
Week 13
Baylor 17 at Arizona 41
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 60°F, 5 mph, 15% rain
Arizona -6.5
model ARIZ +12.0 · actual +24 · covered by 12.0
Week 14
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 62°F, 5 mph, 14% rain
Arizona -2
model ARIZ +3.5 · actual +16 · covered by 12.5

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on ARIZ

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking ARIZ games
SP+ (2025)+10.24 of 1610-1
Elo (2025)+6.44 of 169-2
SRS (2025)+10.94 of 1610-2
Vegas9-3

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Arizona's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 6.2, +0.45 against the same team on the average draw, the 15th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for ARIZ would be West Virginia's (5.0), easiest Houston's (6.4).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 1 vs Hawai'i: 42,423 (96°F)
  • Wk 2 vs Weber State: 40,038 (84°F)
  • Wk 3 vs Kansas State: 40,051 (90°F)
  • Wk 6 vs Oklahoma State: 40,685 (87°F)
  • Wk 7 vs BYU: 47,960 (76°F)
  • Wk 11 vs Kansas: 41,115 (83°F)
  • Wk 13 vs Baylor: 40,199 (71°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023647,32050,800
2024746,74750,724
2025741,78247,960

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20242-74-814

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.