TCU Horned Frogs
8-4 overall · 5-4 Big 12 · 7th in the standings
The schedule
North Carolina 14 
Abilene Christian 21 
Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.
The Nerds on TCU
| System | rating (pts) | in the Big 12 | picking TCU games |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ (2025) | +6.5 | 6 of 16 | 7-4 |
| Elo (2025) | +5.7 | 6 of 16 | 8-3 |
| SRS (2025) | +7.2 | 6 of 16 | 8-3 |
| Vegas | — | — | 10-2 |
Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in TCU's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.
The draw and the rotation
Expected conference wins on this slate: 5.5, +0.29 against the same team on the average draw, the 13th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for TCU would be BYU's (4.5), easiest Houston's (5.8).
Misses this season:
Arizona last met 2024
Kansas last met 2024
Oklahoma State last met 2024
Texas Tech last met 2024
UCF last met 2024
Utah last met 2024
From The Draw and The Rotation.
Home gates
- Wk 3 vs Abilene Christian: 48,094 (90°F)
- Wk 4 vs SMU: 43,333 (86°F)
- Wk 6 vs Colorado: 43,160 (85°F)
- Wk 8 vs Baylor: 43,868 (78°F)
- Wk 11 vs Iowa State: 44,197 (81°F)
- Wk 14 vs Cincinnati: 37,259 (68°F)
| Season | home games | average | best |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 47,331 | 53,294 |
| 2024 | 6 | 44,605 | 48,889 |
| 2025 | 6 | 43,318 | 48,094 |
From Attendance.
In the Big 12
| Season | conf. | overall | finish | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 4-5 | 7-5 | 7 | |
| 2013 | 2-7 | 4-8 | 8 | |
| 2014 | 8-1 | 11-1 | 2 | |
| 2015 | 7-2 | 10-2 | 3 | |
| 2016 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 5 | |
| 2017 | 7-2 | 10-3 | 2 | lost the title game 41-17 vs Oklahoma |
| 2018 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 5 | |
| 2019 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 8 | |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 8 | |
| 2022 | 9-0 | 12-1 | 1 | lost the title game 28-31 vs Kansas State |
| 2023 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 9 | |
| 2024 | 6-3 | 8-4 | 6 |
Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.