Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

12-1 overall · 8-1 Big 12 · 1st in the standings · won the title game 34-7 vs BYU

The schedule

Week 1
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 7 at Texas Tech 67 non-conf
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 81°F, 8 mph, 28% rain
Texas Tech -54.5
model TTU +72.5 · actual +60 · fell short by 12.5
Week 2
Kent State 14 at Texas Tech 62 non-conf
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 76°F, 8 mph, 31% rain
Texas Tech -48
model TTU +43.8 · actual +48 · covered by 4.2
Week 3
Oregon State 14 at Texas Tech 45 non-conf
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 76°F, 8 mph, 31% rain
Texas Tech -24
model TTU +39.7 · actual +31 · fell short by 8.7
Week 4
Texas Tech 34 at Utah 10
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 63°F, 5 mph, 19% rain
Utah -3.5
model TTU +0.8 · actual +24 · covered by 23.2
Week 6
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 76°F, 6 mph, 43% rain
Texas Tech -12.7
model TTU +16.4 · actual +24 · covered by 7.6
Week 7
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 68°F, 10 mph, 27% rain
Texas Tech -13.5
model TTU +23.2 · actual +25 · covered by 1.8
Week 8
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 74°F, 6 mph, 6% rain
Texas Tech -8
model TTU +16.6 · actual -4 · fell short by 20.6
Week 9
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 60°F, 10 mph, 19% rain
Texas Tech -37
model TTU +39.5 · actual +42 · covered by 2.5
Week 10
final
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Average 48°F, 8 mph, 24% rain
Texas Tech -7.3
model TTU +14.3 · actual +23 · covered by 8.7
Week 11
BYU 7 at Texas Tech 29
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 55°F, 9 mph, 17% rain
Texas Tech -13.5
model TTU +12.5 · actual +22 · covered by 9.5
Week 12
UCF 9 at Texas Tech 48
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 55°F, 9 mph, 17% rain
Texas Tech -24.3
model TTU +27.2 · actual +39 · covered by 11.8
Week 14
final
Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV
Average 41°F, 7 mph, 50% rain
Texas Tech -24.3
model TTU +26.9 · actual +49 · covered by 22.1

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on TTU

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking TTU games
SP+ (2025)+25.81 of 1610-1
Elo (2025)+20.01 of 1610-1
SRS (2025)+21.01 of 1610-2
Vegas10-2

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Texas Tech's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 7.9, -0.16 against the same team on the average draw, the 5th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for TTU would be Colorado's (7.6), easiest Houston's (8.5).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 1 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 60,229 (88°F)
  • Wk 2 vs Kent State: 60,229 (62°F)
  • Wk 3 vs Oregon State: 60,229 (83°F)
  • Wk 7 vs Kansas: 60,229 (82°F)
  • Wk 9 vs Oklahoma State: 59,625 (62°F)
  • Wk 11 vs BYU: 60,229 (67°F)
  • Wk 12 vs UCF: 60,229 (87°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023654,49156,200
2024758,62360,229
2025760,14360,229

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20112-75-79
20124-57-56
20134-57-56
20142-74-88
20154-57-56
20163-65-77
20173-66-68
20183-65-78
20192-74-89
20213-66-69
20225-47-54
20235-46-67
20246-38-47

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.