Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

Arizona State Sun Devils

8-4 overall · 6-3 Big 12 · 6th in the standings

The schedule

Week 1
Northern Arizona 19 at Arizona State 38 non-conf
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 94°F, 6 mph, 20% rain
Arizona State -30
model ASU +27.7 · actual +19 · fell short by 8.7
Week 2
Arizona State 20 at Mississippi State 24 non-conf
final
Davis Wade Stadium · Starkville, MS
Average 77°F, 5 mph, 37% rain
Arizona State -5.8
model ASU +0.5 · actual -4 · fell short by 4.5
Week 3
Texas State 15 at Arizona State 34 non-conf
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 92°F, 6 mph, 16% rain
Arizona State -18.5
model ASU +5.4 · actual +19 · covered by 13.6
Week 4
final
McLane Stadium · Waco, TX
Average 80°F, 7 mph, 35% rain
Baylor -2.5
model ASU +1.5 · actual +3 · covered by 1.5
Week 5
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 86°F, 6 mph, 17% rain
Arizona State -2.8
model ASU -0.8 · actual +3 · covered by 3.8
Week 7
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 55°F, 5 mph, 28% rain
Utah -9.2
model ASU -18.1 · actual -32 · fell short by 13.9
Week 8
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 74°F, 6 mph, 6% rain
Texas Tech -8
model ASU -16.6 · actual +4 · covered by 20.6
Week 9
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 74°F, 6 mph, 6% rain
Arizona State -7.3
model ASU +2.2 · actual -8 · fell short by 10.2
Week 10
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 43°F, 10 mph, 30% rain
Iowa State -7.8
model ASU -5.9 · actual +5 · covered by 10.9
Week 12
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 68°F, 5 mph, 5% rain
Arizona State -9.8
model ASU +12.6 · actual +2 · fell short by 10.6
Week 13
final
Folsom Field · Boulder, CO
Average 36°F, 5 mph, 28% rain
Arizona State -6.8
model ASU +7.7 · actual +25 · covered by 17.3
Week 14
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 62°F, 5 mph, 14% rain
Arizona -2
model ASU -3.5 · actual -16 · fell short by 12.5

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on ASU

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking ASU games
SP+ (2025)+2.111 of 167-3
Elo (2025)+3.58 of 166-5
SRS (2025)+4.59 of 167-5
Vegas7-5

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Arizona State's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 4.1, -0.35 against the same team on the average draw, the 4th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for ASU would be Colorado's (3.9), easiest Houston's (5.1).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 1 vs Northern Arizona: 56,759 (100°F)
  • Wk 3 vs Texas State: 54,005 (92°F)
  • Wk 5 vs TCU: 53,774 (73°F)
  • Wk 8 vs Texas Tech: 54,177 (81°F)
  • Wk 9 vs Houston: 54,256 (81°F)
  • Wk 12 vs West Virginia: 54,101 (75°F)
  • Wk 14 vs Arizona: 54,037 (63°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023848,84454,166
2024648,98455,400
2025754,44456,759

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20247-211-21won the title game 45-19 vs Iowa State

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.