Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

Houston Cougars

9-3 overall · 6-3 Big 12 · 4th in the standings

The schedule

Week 1
Stephen F. Austin 0 at Houston 27 non-conf
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 83°F, 6 mph, 76% rain
Houston -24
model HOU +20.2 · actual +27 · covered by 6.8
Week 2
Houston 35 at Rice 9 non-conf
final
Rice Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 80°F, 6 mph, 60% rain
Houston -13.5
model HOU +18.0 · actual +26 · covered by 8.0
Week 3
Colorado 20 at Houston 36
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 80°F, 6 mph, 65% rain
Houston -3.8
model HOU +12.5 · actual +16 · covered by 3.5
Week 5
Houston 27 at Oregon State 24 non-conf
final
Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR
Average 60°F, 5 mph, 37% rain
Houston -11.8
model HOU +16.2 · actual +3 · fell short by 13.2
Week 6
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 76°F, 6 mph, 43% rain
Texas Tech -12.7
model HOU -16.4 · actual -24 · fell short by 7.6
Week 7
final
Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK
Average 69°F, 8 mph, 31% rain
Houston -14.5
model HOU +16.0 · actual +22 · covered by 6.0
Week 8
Arizona 28 at Houston 31
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 69°F, 8 mph, 45% rain
Arizona -2
model HOU -3.3 · actual +3 · covered by 6.3
Week 9
final
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ
Average 74°F, 6 mph, 6% rain
Arizona State -7.3
model HOU -2.2 · actual +8 · covered by 10.2
Week 10
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 65°F, 7 mph, 45% rain
Houston -13
model HOU +12.8 · actual -10 · fell short by 22.8
Week 11
Houston 30 at UCF 27
final
FBC Mortgage Stadium · Orlando, FL
Average 71°F, 7 mph, 54% rain
UCF -1.3
model HOU +3.7 · actual +3 · fell short by 0.7
Week 13
TCU 17 at Houston 14
final
TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX
Average 62°F, 8 mph, 46% rain
TCU -1.5
model HOU -0.6 · actual -3 · fell short by 2.4
Week 14
Houston 31 at Baylor 24
final
McLane Stadium · Waco, TX
Average 59°F, 8 mph, 31% rain
Baylor -2.5
model HOU +1.6 · actual +7 · covered by 5.4

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on HOU

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking HOU games
SP+ (2025)+5.67 of 168-3
Elo (2025)-0.110 of 167-4
SRS (2025)+5.08 of 168-4
Vegas7-5

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Houston's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 5.1, +0.61 against the same team on the average draw, the 16th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for HOU would be Colorado's (4.0), easiest Arizona's (4.8).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 1 vs Stephen F. Austin: 28,150 (86°F)
  • Wk 3 vs Colorado: 37,899 (87°F)
  • Wk 6 vs Texas Tech: 42,806 (85°F)
  • Wk 8 vs Arizona: 28,535 (84°F)
  • Wk 10 vs West Virginia: 25,049 (66°F)
  • Wk 13 vs TCU: 30,852 (77°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023736,02042,812
2024627,42334,166
2025632,21542,806

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20232-74-812
20243-64-812

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.